Liverpool vs Arsenal: prediction & betting odds 11 May 2025

The Matchday 36 Premier League clash between Liverpool and Arsenal will take place on May 11 at Anfield. Liverpool vs. Arsenal: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Liverpool

In the previous round, Liverpool suffered their third defeat of the current championship. Playing away, the club lost to Chelsea with a score of 1-3. It is worth noting that the team was already the Premier League 2024/25 winner, so even with almost their main squad on the field, the players played without maximum motivation. The club continues to lead the Premier League in goals scored – 81.

  • Liverpool has won 7 of their last 9 Premier League matches.
  • Liverpool opened the scoring in 8 of their last 11 league games.
  • At least two goals were scored in the second half in 7 of Liverpool's last 10 home Premier League matches.

Predicted lineup for Liverpool (4-3-3)

Alisson Becker – Virgil van Dijk, Kostas Tsimikas, Jarell Quansah, Trent Alexander-Arnold – Curtis Jones, Wataru Endo, Harvey Elliott – Mohamed Salah, Diogo Jota, Cody Gakpo.

Defender Joseph Gomez is out due to injury.

Arsenal

Due to their involvement in the Champions League, the Gunners have slightly relaxed in the Premier League, which has cost them. In the last round, the team lost at home to Bournemouth (1-2), despite scoring first. It's also worth noting that in their last five Premier League matches, the club only managed to beat Ipswich (4-0), drawing three times and losing once. Mikel Arteta's side has not yet secured a Champions League spot for next season and has allowed the chasing pack to close in – the gap to the nearest rival is just three points.

  • The club has not won in 7 of their last 10 league matches (5 draws and 2 losses).
  • Both teams scored in 5 of Arsenal's last 6 Premier League matches.
  • The Londoners won the second half in 7 of their last 10 away Premier League games.

Predicted lineup for Arsenal (4-3-3)

David Raya – Myles Lewis-Skelly, Jurrien Timber, William Saliba, Jakub Kiwior – Martin Odegaard, Thomas Partey, Declan Rice – Gabriel Martinelli, Leandro Trossard, Raheem Sterling.

Forwards Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus, as well as defenders Gabriel Magalhaes and Takehiro Tomiyasu, will miss the match due to injuries.

Referee

Anthony Taylor (England)

Matches – 29 (Premier League, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 85;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.9;

Red cards shown – 5;

Average fouls per match – 21;

Penalties – 24%.

Liverpool vs. Arsenal: Match Prediction

As promised by Arne Slot, his players do not intend to take it easy after securing the Premier League title. For the match against Bournemouth, the club fielded a strong lineup with minor changes in midfield, and although the team lost, it is clear they will not easily give away their remaining matches of the season. The upcoming match will take place at Anfield, and Liverpool will not easily concede a victory to the Londoners on their home turf.

The hosts consistently score at home, having scored at least two goals in 14 of their last 15 league matches. However, they have also conceded in 8 of their last 10 home games at Anfield in the Premier League. Arsenal needs to secure at least three more points to guarantee a Champions League spot for next season, so the visitors are also expected to score. Additionally, at least three goals have been scored in 15 of the last 18 head-to-head Premier League meetings.

My prediction – Total over 2.5 goals

Betting tips 11 May 2025

At one point, Liverpool’s commanding lead in the title race suggested that by the time they met Arsenal in the penultimate home fixture, the trophy might already be wrapped up — and so it is. They, having secured the Premier League crown, fell to a 1:3 defeat at Chelsea last weekend. Now, with the pressure off, they welcome a weary Arsenal side fresh from a draining Champions League semi-final.

Liverpool's attacking intent has remained untouched despite a managerial change — their league-leading 85.50 xG is far ahead of the chasing pack, with no other side even breaking the 70-mark. Even in a subdued display at Stamford Bridge, they still produced 1.43 xG. At Anfield, they’ve been close to flawless, taking 44 points from 17 home matches.

Arsenal, meanwhile, are reeling after a third consecutive loss — their latest a 1:2 defeat to Paris Saint-Germain that ended their European dream. They haven’t won since 20 April, when they defeated Ipswich Town (4:0). That said, Arsenal remain a major threat going forward. Across both legs of their Champions League semi-final, they generated 3.53 xG, and in the Premier League, they’ve scored 30 goals on the road — behind only two other teams.

The reverse fixture at the Emirates ended 2:2 in a thrilling, end-to-end affair. With both sides packed with attacking quality — and Mohamed Salah enjoying a record-breaking season (28+18) — goals should be expected once again at Anfield.

Betting prediction
Total Over 2.5
Cf
Odds
18/25
Bet now

Liverpool vs Arsenal Odds

Premier League: previous matches in the tournament

Liverpool
04.05.25
Chelsea
Liverpool
L
27.04.25
Liverpool
Tottenham Hotspur
W
20.04.25
Leicester City
Liverpool
W
13.04.25
Liverpool
West Ham United
W
06.04.25
Fulham
Liverpool
L
02.04.25
Liverpool
Everton
W
08.03.25
Liverpool
Southampton
W
26.02.25
Liverpool
Newcastle United
W
23.02.25
Manchester City
Liverpool
W
19.02.25
Aston Villa
Liverpool
D
16.02.25
Liverpool
Wolverhampton Wanderers
W
12.02.25
Everton
Liverpool
D
01.02.25
Bournemouth
Liverpool
W
25.01.25
Liverpool
Ipswich
W
18.01.25
Brentford
Liverpool
W
14.01.25
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
D
05.01.25
Liverpool
Manchester United
D
29.12.24
West Ham United
Liverpool
W
26.12.24
Liverpool
Leicester City
W
22.12.24
Tottenham Hotspur
Liverpool
W
14.12.24
Liverpool
Fulham
D
04.12.24
Newcastle United
Liverpool
D
01.12.24
Liverpool
Manchester City
W
24.11.24
Southampton
Liverpool
W
09.11.24
Liverpool
Aston Villa
W
02.11.24
Liverpool
Brighton and Hove Albion
W
27.10.24
Arsenal
Liverpool
D
20.10.24
Liverpool
Chelsea
W
05.10.24
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
W
28.09.24
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Liverpool
W
21.09.24
Liverpool
Bournemouth
W
14.09.24
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
L
01.09.24
Manchester United
Liverpool
W
25.08.24
Liverpool
Brentford
W
17.08.24
Ipswich
Liverpool
W
More matches
Arsenal
03.05.25
Arsenal
Bournemouth
L
23.04.25
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
D
20.04.25
Ipswich
Arsenal
W
12.04.25
Arsenal
Brentford
D
05.04.25
Everton
Arsenal
D
01.04.25
Arsenal
Fulham
W
16.03.25
Arsenal
Chelsea
W
09.03.25
Manchester United
Arsenal
D
26.02.25
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
D
22.02.25
Arsenal
West Ham United
L
15.02.25
Leicester City
Arsenal
W
02.02.25
Arsenal
Manchester City
W
25.01.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Arsenal
W
18.01.25
Arsenal
Aston Villa
D
15.01.25
Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur
W
04.01.25
Brighton and Hove Albion
Arsenal
D
01.01.25
Brentford
Arsenal
W
27.12.24
Arsenal
Ipswich
W
21.12.24
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
W
14.12.24
Arsenal
Everton
D
08.12.24
Fulham
Arsenal
D
04.12.24
Arsenal
Manchester United
W
30.11.24
West Ham United
Arsenal
W
23.11.24
Arsenal
Nottingham Forest
W
10.11.24
Chelsea
Arsenal
D
02.11.24
Newcastle United
Arsenal
L
27.10.24
Arsenal
Liverpool
D
19.10.24
Bournemouth
Arsenal
L
05.10.24
Arsenal
Southampton
W
28.09.24
Arsenal
Leicester City
W
22.09.24
Manchester City
Arsenal
D
15.09.24
Tottenham Hotspur
Arsenal
W
31.08.24
Arsenal
Brighton and Hove Albion
D
24.08.24
Aston Villa
Arsenal
W
17.08.24
Arsenal
Wolverhampton Wanderers
W
More matches

H2H: Liverpool — Arsenal

Premier League 2024-2025
27.10.24
Arsenal
Liverpool
Premier League 2023-2024
04.02.24
Arsenal
Liverpool
FA Cup 2023-2024
07.01.24
Arsenal
Liverpool
Premier League 2023-2024
23.12.23
Liverpool
Arsenal
Premier League 2022-2023
09.04.23
Liverpool
Arsenal
09.10.22
Arsenal
Liverpool
Premier League 2021-2022
16.03.22
Arsenal
Liverpool
20.11.21
Liverpool
Arsenal
Premier League 2020-2021
03.04.21
Arsenal
Liverpool
28.09.20
Liverpool
Arsenal
Community Shield 2020
29.08.20
Arsenal
Liverpool
1
:
1
5
:
4
P
Premier League 2019-2020
15.07.20
Arsenal
Liverpool
League Cup 2019-2020
30.10.19
Liverpool
Arsenal
5
:
5
5
:
4
P
Premier League 2019-2020
24.08.19
Liverpool
Arsenal
Premier League 2018-2019
29.12.18
Liverpool
Arsenal
03.11.18
Arsenal
Liverpool
Premier League 2017-2018
22.12.17
Arsenal
Liverpool
27.08.17
Liverpool
Arsenal
Premier League 2016-2017
04.03.17
Liverpool
Arsenal
14.08.16
Arsenal
Liverpool
Premier League 2015-2016
13.01.16
Liverpool
Arsenal
24.08.15
Arsenal
Liverpool
Premier League 2014-2015
04.04.15
Arsenal
Liverpool
21.12.14
Liverpool
Arsenal
Football League Cup 2013-2014
16.02.14
Arsenal
Liverpool
2
:
1
Premier League 2013-2014
07.02.14
Liverpool
Arsenal
5
:
1
01.11.13
Arsenal
Liverpool
2
:
0
Premier League 2012-2013
29.01.13
Arsenal
Liverpool
2
:
2
01.09.12
Liverpool
Arsenal
0
:
2
Premier League 2011-2012
02.03.12
Liverpool
Arsenal
1
:
2
19.08.11
Arsenal
Liverpool
0
:
2
Premier League 2010-2011
16.04.11
Arsenal
Liverpool
1
:
1
14.08.10
Liverpool
Arsenal
1
:
1
Premier League 2009-2010
09.02.10
Arsenal
Liverpool
1
:
0
12.12.09
Liverpool
Arsenal
1
:
2
Premier League 2008-2009
20.04.09
Liverpool
Arsenal
4
:
4
20.12.08
Arsenal
Liverpool
1
:
1
Premier League 2007-2008
04.04.08
Arsenal
Liverpool
1
:
1
27.10.07
Liverpool
Arsenal
1
:
1
Premier League 2006-2007
30.03.07
Liverpool
Arsenal
4
:
1
11.11.06
Arsenal
Liverpool
3
:
0
Premier League 2005-2006
11.03.06
Arsenal
Liverpool
2
:
1
13.02.06
Liverpool
Arsenal
1
:
0
Premier League 2004-2005
07.05.05
Arsenal
Liverpool
3
:
1
27.11.04
Liverpool
Arsenal
2
:
1
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
35 25 7 3 81:35 82
2
Arsenal
35 18 13 4 64:31 67
3
Manchester City
36 19 8 9 67:43 65
4
Newcastle United
35 19 6 10 66:45 63
5
Chelsea
35 18 9 8 62:41 63
6
Aston Villa
36 18 9 9 56:49 63
7
Nottingham Forest
35 18 7 10 54:42 61
8
Brentford
36 16 7 13 63:53 55
9
Brighton and Hove Albion
36 14 13 9 59:56 55
10
Bournemouth
36 14 11 11 55:43 53
11
Fulham
36 14 9 13 51:50 51
12
Crystal Palace
35 11 13 11 44:48 46
13
Everton
36 9 15 12 39:44 42
14
Wolverhampton Wanderers
36 12 5 19 51:64 41
15
Manchester United
35 10 9 16 42:51 39
16
Tottenham Hotspur
35 11 5 19 63:57 38
17
West Ham United
35 9 10 16 40:59 37
18
Ipswich
36 4 10 22 35:77 22
19
Leicester City
35 5 6 24 29:76 21
20
Southampton
36 2 6 28 25:82 12
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
17 14 2 1 39:13 44
2
Manchester City
18 12 3 3 40:22 39
3
Chelsea
18 11 5 2 34:18 38
4
Aston Villa
18 10 7 1 32:20 37
5
Arsenal
18 10 6 2 34:17 36
6
Newcastle United
17 11 2 4 38:19 35
7
Nottingham Forest
17 9 4 4 24:13 31
8
Brentford
18 9 4 5 38:32 31
9
Brighton and Hove Albion
18 7 8 3 27:24 29
10
Fulham
18 7 5 6 27:28 26
11
Bournemouth
18 7 4 7 21:16 25
12
Crystal Palace
18 5 7 6 20:24 22
13
Tottenham Hotspur
17 6 3 8 34:29 21
14
Everton
18 4 9 5 24:23 21
15
Manchester United
17 6 3 8 21:26 21
16
Wolverhampton Wanderers
18 6 2 10 26:31 20
17
West Ham United
18 5 5 8 22:32 20
18
Leicester City
18 3 3 12 13:34 12
19
Ipswich
18 1 4 13 13:41 7
20
Southampton
18 1 3 14 12:45 6
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Liverpool
18 11 5 2 42:22 38
2
Arsenal
17 8 7 2 30:14 31
3
Nottingham Forest
18 9 3 6 30:29 30
4
Bournemouth
18 7 7 4 34:27 28
5
Newcastle United
18 8 4 6 28:26 28
6
Manchester City
18 7 5 6 27:21 26
7
Brighton and Hove Albion
18 7 5 6 32:32 26
8
Aston Villa
18 8 2 8 24:29 26
9
Chelsea
17 7 4 6 28:23 25
10
Fulham
18 7 4 7 24:22 25
11
Brentford
18 7 3 8 25:21 24
12
Crystal Palace
17 6 6 5 24:24 24
13
Everton
18 5 6 7 15:21 21
14
Wolverhampton Wanderers
18 6 3 9 25:33 21
15
Manchester United
18 4 6 8 21:25 18
16
Tottenham Hotspur
18 5 2 11 29:28 17
17
West Ham United
17 4 5 8 18:27 17
18
Ipswich
18 3 6 9 22:36 15
19
Leicester City
17 2 3 12 16:42 9
20
Southampton
18 1 3 14 13:37 6

Team lineups

Liverpool

coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Alisson
gk. 25 -23
Virgil van Dijk
df. 35 3
Andrew Robertson
df. 31 0
Ibrahima Konaté
df. 28 1
Conor Bradley
df. 16 0
Ryan Gravenberch
mf. 34 0
Dominik Szoboszlai
mf. 33 5
Curtis Jones
mf. 30 3
Mohamed Salah
fw. 35 28
Luis Díaz
fw. 33 12
Cody Gakpo
fw. 32 9
Substitutes
Caoimhin Kelleher
gk. 10 -12
Trent Alexander-Arnold
df. 31 3
Kostas Tsimikas
df. 17 0
Jarell Amorin Quansah
df. 12 0
Alexis Mac Allister
mf. 34 5
Wataru Endo
mf. 18 0
Harvey Elliott
mf. 15 0
Darwin Gabriel Núñez Ribeiro
fw. 27 5
Diogo Jota
fw. 24 6
Arsenal

coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
David Raya
gk. 35 -31
William Saliba
df. 33 2
Ben White
df. 14 0
Jakub Piotr Kiwior
df. 14 1
Thomas Teye Partey
mf. 32 4
Martin Ødegaard
mf. 27 2
Mikel Merino
mf. 26 6
Myles Anthony Lewis-Skelly
mf. 20 1
Leandro Trossard
fw. 35 8
Gabriel Teodoro Martinelli Silva
fw. 30 7
Saka Bukayo
fw. 22 6
Substitutes
Norberto Neto
gk. 0 -2
Jurriën David Norman Timber
df. 30 1
Riccardo Calafiori
df. 17 2
Oleksandr Zinchenko
df. 13 0
Kieran Tierney
df. 10 0
Ethan Chidiebere Nwaneri
mf. 25 4
Jack Henry-Francis
mf. 0 0
Raheem Sterling
fw. 16 0
Nathan Jerome Chatoyer Butler-Oyedeji
fw. 1 0
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